Islamic Finance-Growth Nexus: Evidence from Indonesia
Previous work on the financial industry, which covers the entire financial services sector and is related to economic growth, has remained limited. This present study empirically analyzed the growth of Indonesia’s three main sectors of the Islamic Financial Industry (Islamic Capital Market, Islamic Banking, and Islamic non-bank Financial Industry) towards economic growth between 2014Q1 and 2021Q3. The quarterly data was processed through the ARDL Bound-test for cointegration and Error Correction Model (ECM). The research revealed three of the four research variables (sharia stock, Sukuk, and sharia insurance) that significantly affect GDP, while Islamic banking shows no significant effect on GDP. As a result, Indonesian Islamic banks must optimize funds for the productive sector. Future policies should consider maximizing the role of the Islamic financial industry to accelerate economic growth.
Keywords : Islamic Finance; Islamic Capital Market; Islamic Banking; Finance-Growth; Economic Growth; ARDL-ECM
- Abrorov, S. (2020). The importance of sukuk in the development of economy: As an example of its impact on the income of the Malaysian population. Journal of Critical Reviews, 7(2), 776–780. https://doi.org/10.31838/jcr.07.02.142
- Anwar, M. S., Junaidi, J., Salju, S., Wicaksono, R., & Mispiyanti, M. (2020). Islamic bank contribution to Indonesian economic growth. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 13(3), 519–532. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-02-2018-0071
- Batorshyna, A., Tokar, V., Kolinets, L., Sybyrka, L., & Almarashdi, O. (2021). The Interplay between the global islamic finance and economic growth of Muslim countries. Financial and Credit Activities: Problems of Theory and Practice, 38(3), 231–239. https://doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v3i38.237452
- Bertelli, S., Vacca, G., & Zoia, M. (2022). Bootstrap cointegration tests in ARDL models. Economic Modelling, 116, 105987. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105987
- BPS. (2021). Metodologi PDB. Retrieved from https://www.bps.go.id/subject/11/produk-domestik-bruto--lapangan-usaha-.html - subjekViewTab2
- Effendi, J. (2021). Potential of Islamic insurance market: Islamic Banking and sukuk sectors case study in Indonesia. Global Review of Islamic Economics and Business, 9(1), 97–107. https://doi.org/10.14421/grieb.2021.091-07
- Elmawazini, K., Khiyar, K. A., & Aydilek, A. (2020). Types of banking institutions and economic growth. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 13(4), 553–578. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-09-2018-0304
- Gani, I. M., & Bahari, Z. (2021). Islamic banking’s contribution to the Malaysian real economy. ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance, 13(1), 6–25. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJIF-01-2019-0004
- Ghouse, G., Khan, S. A., & Rehman, A. U. (2018). ARDL model as a remedy for spurious regression: problems, performance and prospectus. Munich Personal RePEc Archive, 83973, 1–31. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/83973/
- Grassa, R., & Gazdar, K. (2014). Financial development and economic growth in GCC countries: A comparative study between Islamic and conventional finance. International Journal of Social Economics, 41(6), 493–514. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-12-2012-0232
- IDX. (2021). Indeks Saham. Retrieved from https://www.idx.co.id/produk/indeks/
- Kapaya, S. M. (2020). Stock market development and economic growth in Tanzania: an ARDL and bound testing approach. Review of Economics and Political Science, 5(3), 187–206. https://doi.org/10.1108/reps-11-2019-0150
- Laila, N., & Anshori, M. (2021). The development of sovereign sukuk in Indonesia. Review of International Geographical Education Online, 11(4), 390-397.
- Ledhem, M. A., & Mekidiche, M. (2020). Economic growth and financial performance of Islamic banks: a CAMELS approach. Islamic Economic Studies, 28(1), 47–62. https://doi.org/10.1108/IES-05-2020-0016
- Ledhem, M. A., & Mekidiche, M. (2021). Islamic finance and economic growth: the Turkish experiment. ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance, 14(1), 4–19. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJIF-12-2020-0255
- Ledhem, M. A., & Mekidiche, M. (2021). Islamic securities (Sukuk) and economic growth: New empirical investigation from Southeast Asia using non-parametric analysis of MCMC panel quantile regression. Islamic Economic Studies, 29(2), 119-138. https://doi.org/10.1108/ies-06-2021-0020
- Ledhem, M. A. (2020). Does Sukuk financing boost economic growth? Empirical evidence from Southeast Asia. PSU Research Review. https://doi.org/10.1108/prr-09-2020-0028
- Mainata, Dedy; Pratiwi, A. (2019). Pengaruh pertumbuhan asuransi syariah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. International Journal Ihya’ ’Ulum Al-Din, 21(1), 56–79. https://doi.org/10.21580/ihya.21.1.4162
- Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., & Kumar, A. (2020). Impact of Islamic banking development and major macroeconomic variables on economic growth for Islamic countries : Evidence from panel smooth transition models. Economic Systems, 44(1), 100739. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2019.100739
- MES. (2018). Kontribusi Asuransi Syariah terhadap Pembangunan Ekonomi Nasional. Retrieved from https://www.ekonomisyariah.org/6746/kontribusi-asuransi-syariah-terhadap-pembangunan-ekonomi-nasional/
- Mohy ul din, S., Regupathi, A., & Abu-Bakar, A. (2017). Insurance effect on economic growth – among economies in various phases of development. Review of International Business and Strategy, 27(4), 501–519. https://doi.org/10.1108/RIBS-02-2017-0010
- Muye, I. M., & Hassan, A. F. S. (2016). Does Islamic insurance development promote economic growth? A panel data analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35(16), 368–373. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(16)00045-9
- Nkoro, E., & Uko, A. K. (2016). Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: Application and interpretation. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 5(4), 63–91. https://www.scienpress.com/journal_focus.asp?
- Nnadozie, E., & Jerome, A. (2019). Definition and measurement of growth and development. In African Economic Development. Emerald Publishing Limited. https://www.emerald.com/insight/publication/doi/10.1108/9781787437838
- Nneka, U. J., Ngong, C. A., Ugoada, O. A., & Onwumere, J. U. J. (2022). Effect of bond market development on economic growth of selected developing countries. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-01-2022-0015
- OJK. (2021). Master Plan Sektor Jasa Keuangan Indonesia 2021-2025. In Master Plan Sektor Jasa Keuangan Indonesia. retrieved from https://www.ojk.go.id/id/berita-dan-kegiatan/publikasi/Documents/Pages/Master-plan-sektor-jasa-keuangan-indonesia-periode-2015-2019/MPSJKI OJK Final_Ind.pdf
- Osei-Bonsu, A., Abotsi, A. K., & Carsamer, E. (2021). Insurance and economic growth in Ghana. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1108/jeas-09-2020-0158
- Popov, A. (2017). Working Paper Series Evidence on finance and economic growth. European Central Bank. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2115.en.pdf
- Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Nair, M., & Bennett, S. E. (2020). Unveiling the causal relationships among banking competition, stock and insurance market development, and economic growth in Europe. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 55, 74–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2020.08.006
- Ridlo, M., Muthohar, A. M., & Masruhan, K. M. (2021). The impact of zakah, Islamic financing, sukuk and inflation on national economic growth with poverty as a moderation variable. Falah: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 6(1), 17–29. https://doi.org/10.22219/jes.v6i1.14993
- Smaoui, H., & Nechi, S. (2017). Does sukuk market development spur economic growth? Research in International Business and Finance, 41(February), 136–147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.04.018
- Supriani, I., Fianto, B. A., Fauziah, N. N., & Maulayati, R. R. (2021). Revisiting the Contribution of Islamic Banks’ Financing to Economic Growth: The Indonesian Experience. Shirkah: Journal of Economics and Business, 6(1), 18-37. https://doi.org/10.22515/shirkah.v6i1.383
- Tabash, M. I., Abdulkarim, F. M., Akinlaso, M. I., & Dhankar, R. S. (2022). Islamic banking and economic growth: fresh insights from Nigeria using autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) approach. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies. https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEMS-03-2021-0138
- Tan, Y. L., & Shafi, R. M. (2021). Capital market and economic growth in Malaysia: the role of ṣukūk and other sub-components. ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance, 13(1), 102–117. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijif-04-2019-0066
- Thaddeus, K. J., Ngong, C. A., Nnecka, U. J., Nubong, N. M., Ibe, G. I., & Onwumere, J. U. J. (2022). Stock market development and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa (1990–2020): an ARDL approach. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-04-2021-0075